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bummy said in November 14th, 2008 at 1:46 am

another super long post, less quack quack then the previous super long post.

see you on sat and thanks as always for your blog post, teaching and even volunteering this sat. looking forward to some learning from the course that i signed up quite impromptu and unusually fast.

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CharlesMing said in November 14th, 2008 at 7:31 am

haha.. to be frank, once upon a time I joined those mailing groups that give out good trading stocks. they tell u what stock, which range to enter, where the TP is and what the cut loss point is. I made here and there but mostly loss. it was 50 bucks a month. not a lot. But months later when i set out to learn on my own i realised why i kept losing. and i began to see why i needed to learn on my own, and i wanted to. so the idea is, u really have to wanna learn. if u do, i can almost promise u, u’ll pick things up quick. Knowing TA doesnt mean u must be a trader. But at least it helps u avoid entering the market on FA and subsequently catch a falling knife, or sell too soon and lose opportunity cost. as i personally said before, no amount of FA can beat market sentiment. If the market sentiment is so bad, even though the stock is cheap, cheap can get cheaper.

i cannot dollar average unlike warren buffett. I assume, most people do not have the kind of cash reserve he has too. So we cannot follow someone blindly. we gotta have our own strategies. If im a day trader, make hell lotta money, can u do the same? maybe not cuz u got your day job to take care of. So things are very different.

truth be hold, after the TA’s way of understanding market psychology, i actually understand what warren buffett has been saying all along. eg when he says buy when people are selling, sell when people are buying, people take that at face value which is incorrect. the market has been selling so many times but he doesnt go in every time. right? he comes in at crucial points. why? he wont tell you why. all he will say is ‘it is dirt cheap now’. People will only teach u half la… the other half u gotta interpret yourself.

chor kang time!

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koori said in November 14th, 2008 at 1:18 pm

you write well and are willing to teach. it is a joy to read your blog :D

am seriously considering to take up the course in the future

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CharlesMing said in November 14th, 2008 at 2:44 pm

hey koori hehe… yeh well, choose a period where u can focus on learning and not get too distracted. i am happy that it helped. sometimes i am a bit half hearted to teach too much, cause it is hard to teach via a blog and people may understand things wrongly.it is hard to re-learn something that u understood in an incorrect way. my motivation comes from seeing people who are eager to learn and succeed eventually. i take what i learn out of trading (the psychological bit) into my personal life and i think it has been rather fun to see the change. in the very least, i dont feel this last year i lived in vain.

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Alvin said in November 16th, 2008 at 1:13 pm

I add oil for you. Translate that into Chinese. hehehe…

This crisis has beaten the laziness out of me and my evenings are now spent reading company reports and charting their stocks’ price movements. I hope to quintruple my wealth in a few years from now.

When the good times return, I hope I will be just as disciplined and not plonk money in stocks based purely on recommendations.

I still use FA to choose good companies and use TA to pick possible entry points (and exit points) and some gut feeling as well. Again, thanks for introducin TA to me. :)

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bummy said in November 16th, 2008 at 4:46 pm

now in cta course stealing their netowrk. been at this on sat and whole of today, sunday. it is really a good mix of theory and hands on with own laptop. everyone of the 43 of us in the class has their own laptop. it is important to have own laptop to practise practise practise.

i think this is a very good course and well structured. helps with PCM around to help. thanks again.

I think i will end up like alvin, use mixed of fa and ta eventually. how exactly the split will be i dun know and does not matter. practise first.

and yes i agree with PCM, it is sometimes hard to explain via blog. I intend to read this blog again from the start to see if there is less quack quack quack after today’s lesson. it will be my homework during my month end holiday. :p

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CharlesMing said in November 16th, 2008 at 6:35 pm

hehe yes FA and TA is fine. cause u must have ur own strategy to suit your own preference. dont follow someone else’s. regardless of how profitable it is. no point one. some of the best traders i know in singapore are intraday traders. they make thousands a month without a single cent used. it works for them but it doesnt mean it works for me. and it doesnt. so thats a fact.

the FA n TA combi is very strong. i personally feel once u realise, the market doesnt work on fundamentals, it works on human emotion, chances are u wont end up as a victim.

in the class i came across someone looking at allgreen. i remember i said something to the line of ‘i wont be buying this stock yet’. i think there are some bearish signs and i will be looking at a better time for it.

a key difference in FA and TA is not time. unlike what a lot feel. the key difference is, the price is important for FA. u wanna buy cheap. for TA it doesnt not matter. Whether capland is 4 bucks or 7 bucks makes no difference. at 4 bucks and trendless, it is not a good stock. at 7 bucks and the trend and momentum is good, its a good stock. so that is a key difference, which u guys may realise will cause a conflict when u r a hybrid investor. so u need to tweak it to your own preference level. dollar averaging is okay, but to me, dollar averaging is not keep on buying n buying. it is to wait for the right place to enter. and u can use TA for that. this is one way to mitigate the conflict caused by being a hybrid.

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Alvin said in November 16th, 2008 at 7:47 pm

I basically use FA to identify companies with good fundamentals which can weather this storm (and not do a Ferrochina). Then, I use TA to identify entry points.

The thing about using FA first is that if my TA is a bit off, I don’t mind holding on to the stock at the current levels because I don’t wanna go through the pain of having to cut loss again. Don’t like the feeling.

I am an investor first and a trader second. If I can make some money in rangebound trading, I will. If things go awry and I have to hold on to the stocks, I can. So, this is perfect for me. :)

So, you are right about us having to develop a style we are comfortable with. It depends on what we want out of the market.

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CharlesMing said in November 17th, 2008 at 7:34 am

wah lao i was watching fantastic 4 at 8pm while eating dinner. i dozed off all the way till this morning. kaoz!

ok buying on TA for FA, also can. 2 suggestions. Ideally, u only go long on an uptrend. An uptrend can occur during a bear market still and it can form a higher high and a lower low. Anything before this, there is a good chance where the market will turn back down prematurely as we have been seeing since mid this year. So this gives limited upside and u really need to hit and run. Therefore, i dont see the point. If u read what I wrote u will see what I think the market here will react in the mid term.

The only problem is too many people think the same, it can fail quite easily. One reason why even tech analysts will give u half the story only. If everyone says it will go up, it could, for a lil, before it u turns back down double quick time and double the amount of blood. I kena many times earlier this year when i started out so I had to regroup and analyze why main street behave this way and make sure if it does happen i wont be donating blood. hopefully.

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Alvin said in November 17th, 2008 at 8:35 pm

Yah, any long position I’ve made in the past 2 weeks is definitely for the very short term. You know me lah. I’m good at this. hahaha… Thanks for the reminder though.

Hey, bro, 8pm until this morning? I think maybe someone mixed piriton in your dinner?? Sleeping in front of the TV till the next morning is something my father would do!!!

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CharlesMing said in November 17th, 2008 at 8:44 pm

i think be patient ba. if im right, something nice is brewing. i also hope before the end of the yr i can one more last good trade.

i was totally exhausted ba… anyway i complain enuff this morning to someone le. so thats ok.

cant imagine if i was the trainer instead. ZZZzzzz. not an easy job. last time the class also not so big one. i think. no choice… for the rest of the year the classes are all full also already. too bad i cannot help for the course end of this month. i got my bestie’s wedding…

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