Shorted Capitaland at 2.67.
Waiting for Indoagri, Olam, StraitsAsia to run before taking profit on long positions. SPC nearing 200MA. Wilmar seems to confirm breakout at 3.60 but failed a breakout at 3.70 (strong resistance).
Short on UOB remains.
There is a chance of an upmove across the board in the short term.
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5 users responded in this post
i have been pondering. support has been holding but volume is decreasing in the case of OCBC and STI.
from which indicator(s) can you see that there maybe a upmove in the near term?
OCBC no longer in radar unless 20ma crack. I am not willing to go long on banking stocks at the moment.
Why rebound? Just a gut feel. Possible bear flag formation. Not a big move.Retest 1870 plus minus that’s all, for one or two days. To get MACD histogram to turn green giving buy signals which eventually could leave to a big fake out. The rebound may or may not happen. It is just an anticipation. It is rare for histograms to remain red for an extended period of time. Bearish divergence should cap gains.
I have gone long in and out for the week, taking profits really quickly to lock in gains so i can do more trades using those profit. I still got wilmar, Straitsasia and olam long, of which i am likely to take profit very quickly. Sell into strong rebounds. I have tightened cut loss and profit taking points… so far its been working well.
i am fairly confident of the limit for upside. RSI also shows bearish divergence. This kind of divergence, when it begins to head down n crack.. it can happen very swiftly. Commodities is still in play. Clearly the BBs are still at work. Once they are done it will interesting to see which sector they will move to. Uptrend in light volume should be taken lightly.. so ur right on that. So far I havent done any homework on that yet.
Look at capitaland, obvious dumping before results came out.
“To get MACD histogram to turn green giving buy signals which eventually could leave to a big fake out”
to push up the price? distribution in progress?
“Uptrend in light volume should be taken lightly..”
this observation has little significance?=
Oh wad i meant was, an uptrend in light volume should not be taken as a bull continuation. Dont read into the move up too much. it could be distribution.. hard to say. RSI also bearish div, indicating a lack of strength as each new high is created. MFI however no div is noted indicating money is still flowing in. So someone is still pouring money in. Maybe retailers. Maybe the BBs, maybe both. But when i did my trades last week one 2 names kept coming up. JPMorgan and CLSA. The others are like phillips, uobkh.
MACD histogram has been red… it should not remain red for too long.. we need a ‘rebound’ in macd terms also. So.. it is inevitable we should see that rebound which should see the histo turn green.
Hi charles,
can U share abit on olam please. why the result was good today yet it head dive so much today.
Regrds,
Lucy
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